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UID:4a879603-9098-4931-9816-23d2f94ee606@nexttoyou
DTSTAMP:20261106T180216Z
DTSTART:20261119T190000Z
DTEND:20261119T200000Z
SUMMARY:STAT@UVM Colloquium Series: Patrick Ball
LOCATION:Innovation Hall E100\, 82 University Place\, Burlington\, VT 0540
 5
DESCRIPTION:Join the STAT@UVM colloquium series for talks connecting stati
 stics\, data science\, and applications across disciplines.\n\nDigital Ec
 hoes: Understanding Patterns of Mass Violence with Data and Statistics\n\
 nwith Patrick Ball\nHuman Rights Data Analysis Group\n\nABSTRACT: Data ab
 out mass violence can seem to offer insights into patterns: is violence g
 etting better\, or worse\, over time? Is violence directed more against m
 en or women? But in human rights data collection\, we (usually) don’t kno
 w what we don’t know – and worse\, what we don’t know is likely to be sys
 tematically different from what we do know. If we try to interpret raw da
 ta\, selection bias determines our findings. Statistical patterns in data
  tend to reflect how the data were collected rather than changes in the r
 eal-world phenomena data purport to represent.\n\nUsing analysis of killi
 ngs in Iraq 2005-2010\, homicides committed by police in the US 2005-2011
 \, and analysis of genocide in Guatemala in 1982-1983\, this talk will di
 scuss the use of capture-recapture methods to estimate of total patterns 
 of violence\, where the estimates correct for heterogeneous underreportin
 g. We’ll discuss how biases in raw data can\, in some cases\, be mitigate
 d through estimation. The examples will be grounded in their use in publi
 c debates and in expert testimony in criminal trials for genocide and war
  crimes. The talk will conclude with an introduction to the methods and a
 nalysis used by the transitional justice mechanisms in Colombia—the Speci
 \n\nhttp://next-to-u.app/events/4a879603-9098-4931-9816-23d2f94ee606
URL:http://next-to-u.app/events/4a879603-9098-4931-9816-23d2f94ee606
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